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    <p><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://matangitonga.to/2022/02/08/tonga-cable-broken">https://matangitonga.to/2022/02/08/tonga-cable-broken</a><br>
    </p>
    <div class="moz-cite-prefix">On 8/02/2022 9:38 am, Ulrich Speidel
      wrote:<br>
    </div>
    <blockquote type="cite" cite="mid:097bbcb6-987d-0461-fb2a-2c7c4a8c0c97@cs.auckland.ac.nz">
      
      <p>I've been watching (and commenting on) this ever since one of 
        our MPs tweeted Elon Musk with a plea for help for Tonga (and as
        the PhD supervisor of Tonga's first PhD student in Computer
        Science and someone who has had Pacific connectivity at the core
        of his work, I've got a fairly good understanding of what "Tonga
        offline" means in practice). That said...</p>
      <p>- Practical range from gateway ground station to user ground
        station is more like 300-400 km. Fiji-Tongatapu is twice that
        distance.<br>
        - Countless images of gateways (and fencing around it) suggest
        that satellite elevation from gateways needs to be a bit more
        than 25deg.<br>
        - Satellite density in the tropics is lowest for Starlink's
        currently operational 53 degree inclination network.<br>
        - It's my understanding that dishys don't actually track using
        their motors, which they use only to position themselves
        initially in the direction of the highest satellite density
        (=wherever your closest 53rd parallel is, basically). That's a
        strategy that doesn't really work in the tropics because you
        can't see the sky above the 53rd parallel. So here, your dishys
        would need to know to point west-north-west.<br>
      </p>
      <p>While it's encouraging to see Starlink send folk to Fiji to
        scout things out (there are plenty of Fijian outlying islands
        where Starlink service would be welcome, too, at least by the
        locals, not necessarily by the regulators), I don't hold my
        breath on them making serious inroads when it comes to
        alleviating the current connectivity crisis. <br>
      </p>
      <p>The cable ship (CS SubCom Reliance) tasked with repair of the
        cable is on site and, judging by its AIS track, has located the
        end of the cable coming from Tongatapu. It appears to have
        shifted a significant distance south (around 1-2 km), possibly
        as a result of a turbidite flow (underwater landslide) from a
        seamount in the area that was triggered by the eruption at Hunga
        further north (my going theory anyway - there's a seamount right
        where it needs to be for that sort of damage and there's no
        other event that explains the timing of the cable outage).
        Either way, if the area is suitable for re-laying the cable,
        Tonga should be back online within the next week. Otherwise add
        a week or two.    <br>
      </p>
      <div class="moz-cite-prefix">On 8/02/2022 8:06 am, Nathan Owens
        wrote:<br>
      </div>
      <blockquote type="cite" cite="mid:CALjsLJtakscSULtwtunS+Evhu5yVBMnpuZZ2cMwR0JkjUNyE-g@mail.gmail.com">
        <div dir="ltr">You can simulate it on <a href="http://starlink.sx" moz-do-not-send="true">starlink.sx</a>, maybe Mike will
          chime in with what he found in doing that. <br>
        </div>
        <br>
        <div class="gmail_quote">
          <div dir="ltr" class="gmail_attr">On Mon, Feb 7, 2022 at 11:05
            AM Christian von der Ropp <<a href="mailto:cvdr@vdr.net" moz-do-not-send="true" class="moz-txt-link-freetext">cvdr@vdr.net</a>>
            wrote:<br>
          </div>
          <blockquote class="gmail_quote" style="margin:0px 0px 0px
            0.8ex;border-left:1px solid
            rgb(204,204,204);padding-left:1ex">
            <div>
              <div>But in practice the satellites won't be sitting and
                waiting at the edge of this 940km radius. They are
                moving in and out the radius and the question is if
                satellite density is high enough so that once the
                serving satellite loses its gateway link there's another
                satellite in the 940km radius which also covers Tonga.
                And then this new satellite cannot be within certain
                elevation angles (~60-80° at 0° azimuth) where the
                geostationary arc crosses Fijian skies and the gateway
                antennas have to seize emission. My gut feeling is that
                availability in Tonga would be <90% simply because
                it's too far out at the edge of a Fijian gateway's range
                where there will be frequent service interruptions.<br>
              </div>
              <div><br>
              </div>
              <div><br>
              </div>
              <div>Am 07.02.2022 um 19:51 schrieb Nathan Owens:<br>
              </div>
              <blockquote type="cite">
                <div dir="ltr">The current coverage radius of a
                  gateway/ground station with a 25 degree minimum
                  elevation is ~940km, so nothing in theory. <br>
                </div>
                <br>
                <div class="gmail_quote">
                  <div dir="ltr" class="gmail_attr">On Mon, Feb 7, 2022
                    at 10:50 AM Daniel AJ Sokolov <<a href="mailto:daniel@sokolov.eu.org" target="_blank" moz-do-not-send="true" class="moz-txt-link-freetext">daniel@sokolov.eu.org</a>>
                    wrote:<br>
                  </div>
                  <blockquote class="gmail_quote" style="margin:0px 0px
                    0px 0.8ex;border-left:1px solid
                    rgb(204,204,204);padding-left:1ex">Hello,<br>
                    <br>
                    I hope this is not offtopic: Starlink wants to build
                    a ground station on <br>
                    Fiji to supply Tonga with internet.<br>
                    <br>
                    The distance between Tonga and Fiji is about 750 km
                    minimum. That's <br>
                    quite the distance.<br>
                    <br>
                    What does Starlink have to do to make this work?<br>
                    <br>
                    Cheers<br>
                    Daniel<br>
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                  </blockquote>
                </div>
                <br>
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              </blockquote>
              <br>
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</pre>
      </blockquote>
      <pre class="moz-signature" cols="72">-- 
****************************************************************
Dr. Ulrich Speidel

School of Computer Science

Room 303S.594 (City Campus)
Ph: (+64-9)-373-7599 ext. 85282

The University of Auckland
<a class="moz-txt-link-abbreviated moz-txt-link-freetext" href="mailto:ulrich@cs.auckland.ac.nz" moz-do-not-send="true">ulrich@cs.auckland.ac.nz</a> 
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="http://www.cs.auckland.ac.nz/~ulrich/" moz-do-not-send="true">http://www.cs.auckland.ac.nz/~ulrich/</a>
****************************************************************



</pre>
    </blockquote>
    <pre class="moz-signature" cols="72">-- 
****************************************************************
Dr. Ulrich Speidel

School of Computer Science

Room 303S.594 (City Campus)
Ph: (+64-9)-373-7599 ext. 85282

The University of Auckland
<a class="moz-txt-link-abbreviated" href="mailto:ulrich@cs.auckland.ac.nz">ulrich@cs.auckland.ac.nz</a> 
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="http://www.cs.auckland.ac.nz/~ulrich/">http://www.cs.auckland.ac.nz/~ulrich/</a>
****************************************************************



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