From mboxrd@z Thu Jan 1 00:00:00 1970 Return-Path: Received: from mx0a-00559701.pphosted.com (mx0a-00559701.pphosted.com [205.220.164.59]) (using TLSv1.2 with cipher ECDHE-RSA-AES256-GCM-SHA384 (256/256 bits)) (No client certificate requested) by lists.bufferbloat.net (Postfix) with ESMTPS id 9CBEE3B29D for ; Wed, 13 Sep 2023 17:59:47 -0400 (EDT) Received: from pps.filterd (m0210272.ppops.net [127.0.0.1]) by mx0a-00559701.pphosted.com (8.17.1.22/8.17.1.22) with ESMTP id 38DAvlnn006940; Wed, 13 Sep 2023 21:59:42 GMT Received: from nam10-bn7-obe.outbound.protection.outlook.com (mail-bn7nam10lp2108.outbound.protection.outlook.com [104.47.70.108]) by mx0a-00559701.pphosted.com (PPS) with ESMTPS id 3t2y9e1kgs-1 (version=TLSv1.2 cipher=ECDHE-RSA-AES256-GCM-SHA384 bits=256 verify=NOT); Wed, 13 Sep 2023 21:59:42 +0000 (GMT) ARC-Seal: i=1; a=rsa-sha256; s=arcselector9901; d=microsoft.com; cv=none; b=c5Bm+KPn3DGKz0xIFtj+nSebS+SToGWT0ASUlOc27OwyHRo7oZh7A2OQHKiLPY3hvYsLH774OZK3VpYOMKB8erVFfwb+E98JJfOYLNEI/Fgsy4GiE43zQUdv8omKthJnwKtgba7QtDOJwFKUSTULJWQZKpOF25/c2Pg0cMbRawmtK/8TFWgZWQfNX1uEIYG4x7zicp/1z62R5Kx5lnADnyyJ9XBHLhzNXfhVQoWQjHwycpx5NQ2n9OJLpa2yTjGNaY3zm8CuQFhfDVXJJEpazBt5r2/2ed4gSbhSOmWtRmax3P2ijNwvvp4r2TTK5WvLabMa7Bh6T56WfvKrTAUtFA== ARC-Message-Signature: i=1; a=rsa-sha256; c=relaxed/relaxed; d=microsoft.com; s=arcselector9901; h=From:Date:Subject:Message-ID:Content-Type:MIME-Version:X-MS-Exchange-AntiSpam-MessageData-ChunkCount:X-MS-Exchange-AntiSpam-MessageData-0:X-MS-Exchange-AntiSpam-MessageData-1; bh=cJpFIp1B3/IQ8XeZkuDDCcG48sPauzbQPl2TghVFGfQ=; b=dFw2nqdqyve4J3i/5qrupN1z5Lv2la2JMsZovnIIFfpMH2yf8KY2sqZNGz5bVJf4mifIOo5Bum0+dJUERoVxQ3Do73k2basXX0oY6BHf2pltoBI2W0tZdo5flCl9MF13sjaeolx1oGwT8nGAL38c2GNLrEWJGQfJ3j5rniF77vMhH+vByyjDcBsdcCWIJWcNa0icVmFFoxSWfX2W6O6ljPGHUTaCWtkYvCq6JN1JY4UHBLdcxhgZKUBDde3ShcvGzsRyLbqo6jg/N9B4X1cbfu5rSB3oGzvn05FKElkDnvSplMC7P5mXUyJwOiEwkm60oPornDnW2w59KaQeu2Di+w== ARC-Authentication-Results: i=1; mx.microsoft.com 1; spf=pass smtp.mailfrom=csudh.edu; dmarc=pass action=none header.from=csudh.edu; dkim=pass header.d=csudh.edu; arc=none DKIM-Signature: v=1; a=rsa-sha256; c=relaxed/relaxed; d=csudh0.onmicrosoft.com; s=selector2-csudh0-onmicrosoft-com; h=From:Date:Subject:Message-ID:Content-Type:MIME-Version:X-MS-Exchange-SenderADCheck; bh=cJpFIp1B3/IQ8XeZkuDDCcG48sPauzbQPl2TghVFGfQ=; b=QevlJ+MMsLHS0B0MbRNwPPa3Cnfs8FnSOv3w8WbptzdLOvOxNkQXmEBnAsksubBQvU7fxgJxEJ9PKoZev5jYNmAFyQmzPDRJPFVC1AOytxYTZk1y8no5Mz6pqkuvdyH2KZEh/4z7ys5YK8TXRqDdsm/XKsB2xshbL2w9mIuxPnA= Received: from BYAPR03MB3863.namprd03.prod.outlook.com (2603:10b6:a03:6a::30) by PH0PR03MB6432.namprd03.prod.outlook.com (2603:10b6:510:b3::22) with Microsoft SMTP Server (version=TLS1_2, cipher=TLS_ECDHE_RSA_WITH_AES_256_GCM_SHA384) id 15.20.6768.38; Wed, 13 Sep 2023 21:59:37 +0000 Received: from BYAPR03MB3863.namprd03.prod.outlook.com ([fe80::1c32:f162:8f03:d142]) by BYAPR03MB3863.namprd03.prod.outlook.com ([fe80::1c32:f162:8f03:d142%3]) with mapi id 15.20.6768.029; Wed, 13 Sep 2023 21:59:37 +0000 From: Larry Press To: "starlink@lists.bufferbloat.net" , Ulrich Speidel Thread-Topic: [Starlink] SpaceX no longer taking losses to produce Starlink satellite antennas, a key step to improving profitability Thread-Index: AQHZ5mRnewcOlmDnXkih+dwwT25D0rAZCVYAgAA+o4CAAALVzQ== Date: Wed, 13 Sep 2023 21:59:37 +0000 Message-ID: References: <073d573e-3630-8c0c-8afc-e0a06be27c9e@auckland.ac.nz> In-Reply-To: <073d573e-3630-8c0c-8afc-e0a06be27c9e@auckland.ac.nz> Accept-Language: en-US Content-Language: en-US X-MS-Has-Attach: X-MS-TNEF-Correlator: msip_labels: x-ms-publictraffictype: Email x-ms-traffictypediagnostic: BYAPR03MB3863:EE_|PH0PR03MB6432:EE_ x-ms-office365-filtering-correlation-id: b3ab268d-1832-491a-f45f-08dbb4a4b93d x-ms-exchange-senderadcheck: 1 x-ms-exchange-antispam-relay: 0 x-microsoft-antispam: BCL:0; x-microsoft-antispam-message-info: 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 x-forefront-antispam-report: CIP:255.255.255.255; CTRY:; LANG:en; SCL:1; SRV:; IPV:NLI; SFV:NSPM; H:BYAPR03MB3863.namprd03.prod.outlook.com; PTR:; CAT:NONE; SFS:(13230031)(366004)(396003)(136003)(346002)(42606007)(39850400004)(376002)(451199024)(186009)(1800799009)(66899024)(55016003)(75432002)(9686003)(7696005)(6506007)(53546011)(66556008)(66946007)(91956017)(66476007)(110136005)(478600001)(1015004)(76116006)(966005)(66446008)(166002)(33656002)(38070700005)(86362001)(71200400001)(26005)(83380400001)(66574015)(64756008)(5660300002)(52536014)(8936002)(316002)(786003)(8676002)(41300700001)(122000001)(2906002)(19627405001)(38100700002); DIR:OUT; SFP:1102; x-ms-exchange-antispam-messagedata-chunkcount: 1 x-ms-exchange-antispam-messagedata-0: =?Windows-1252?Q?EFYZ2yoY2xGmgyz4o8D/ea+mBg/Z3W7IRcO+VJgkfRpIaG0qUpiGJyDS?= =?Windows-1252?Q?S45MX01Blle66FBF/8lkFWYIgqMoVXwLMLR0xJ0fYzW0ngqQtR2d/8fr?= =?Windows-1252?Q?xvE4WNSc5EobS4doOGsEKNxOdVa7vtUXwPF2pFz26npdNWsPIvdPaJ2f?= =?Windows-1252?Q?AcYrtBsLUVkDBNYEUtHtSUeaL03lxST+2QQTcX99A2sh0zAlzYPDCRD7?= =?Windows-1252?Q?KRxr16+abrMR/wF+Z8tbXtBpVv57EorCBoNnCMcGK5aTNhl38QrkeUb8?= =?Windows-1252?Q?zfOevg9shexoVbPlUxLwvG+dmpFpTt/3UtvuMK8pnafwNO40ZFqw9WJS?= =?Windows-1252?Q?xpFi+turrlcFXzbYgE1+JkDdmH0g6nvoA02oiy0arV936VzZnjg/Xj1L?= =?Windows-1252?Q?Zx4WWPNUw8DGo7Y3xfHhlssGMhp6aAZv7FsC+ddMpGIotgDG1Fa3WgSS?= =?Windows-1252?Q?15dfZzwe0QDu3uJ5OR22Kkw8VJaqPdbTRnySVsH5mPgkx9D8aMeLEaaa?= =?Windows-1252?Q?M4tjOlx3Ofw1+AIE28PY/n0w99J3mm4BLRpSJUws4pcaBpq9mGjSonsE?= =?Windows-1252?Q?qxn67FayGpcMdnBULYpZ/a1fe7TtS0gH56lOgeHe9zocIdQ1slSFaK4j?= =?Windows-1252?Q?LmQ8hZj7e48P4vwRKW9s/O4CEISzsUi7TGlG4TYQRUFJ3WGfCjpgy23g?= =?Windows-1252?Q?8mOl5jHruMFqM5p4DTMtZIOsZV/oxuuqQDtW/T6LF9ahNYcqGo8H/d6P?= =?Windows-1252?Q?lvAS80fdhlK5XPEZqnTMwEcWaXt3TWcBXZDbXSY0De5l3dkIl5dTYDyR?= =?Windows-1252?Q?hf54KZ5c4lUBEOZ9Jzyini9VARdM3e4tW9EQA5GvlQPVLxX4N11srsHH?= =?Windows-1252?Q?zVB5upop9Bpbmx2JJ3az3NtHn8FF0dA/Ve5c3snfpJSXfdGatbw9o6f2?= =?Windows-1252?Q?L4BHYkLjCB428n16zXSHHg09/MG/himjDtOsLXqzig+UjXc37j9zs0q4?= =?Windows-1252?Q?aXE8WndWD54cESe/pA1xEGS/U2jEQ7yjiMzGT7SzfDp4madQPPSHlqpn?= =?Windows-1252?Q?xsIJv8PX4C4yFbWRWDu8Eqzzcv++jxrpsmF5y/CYDr+Qq7WHUs9P5lvn?= =?Windows-1252?Q?1M21VQDEx7dmu3lfioogz0K+F3pEQ8aEEAb/Ilt0vRSaCB6gELGJkA7R?= =?Windows-1252?Q?/LjJ87ChEcvOxh+VkGcJxXNCZbZVdVRKUZbLC/M9PoKbGXCSZy+pWI40?= =?Windows-1252?Q?Y3J/R2gVOs5DhfoA5p+8qEzXOoyVQckEg9riL1LXkvJdx4G1ErureW2V?= =?Windows-1252?Q?8kljGAQvFIU/rAOhP3cqdBDfJzLM3zXkebYiovh8ljLdX8YK3YLNM8sQ?= =?Windows-1252?Q?lCy8Rz3oDfKJjm9ju2utxbLvAoy2Z5T+Mjk5C8nm2/bWs0Pm+tZcLd0x?= =?Windows-1252?Q?7E+WJja82qfvwQ/oNP5O+pwQzFBiPYfh0QOiQ37+QJHNiM4CPsAzGLg3?= =?Windows-1252?Q?aO7OQcWthp2eH7dOobyRy2HK/K2CHwaCDUtL0IAubn0pxPU6h6vwpMo1?= =?Windows-1252?Q?HIFaKPKq9Kf0rieZMvk/XVTGMGg1CuNTBG7F6uUQrbGio8o5PkIeAEMX?= =?Windows-1252?Q?5UTi2Nb495O3Hntn1oMfpbbPKJsaO/BwlU9/OOVCXvk/lR5VAuy3+7pK?= =?Windows-1252?Q?ZcNmJtEpZyWDVUokcz4IuoUBC+PnJ5+1?= Content-Type: multipart/alternative; boundary="_000_BYAPR03MB38634393D9683D03DD6565F0C2F0ABYAPR03MB3863namp_" MIME-Version: 1.0 X-OriginatorOrg: csudh.edu X-MS-Exchange-CrossTenant-AuthAs: Internal X-MS-Exchange-CrossTenant-AuthSource: BYAPR03MB3863.namprd03.prod.outlook.com X-MS-Exchange-CrossTenant-Network-Message-Id: b3ab268d-1832-491a-f45f-08dbb4a4b93d X-MS-Exchange-CrossTenant-originalarrivaltime: 13 Sep 2023 21:59:37.8443 (UTC) X-MS-Exchange-CrossTenant-fromentityheader: Hosted X-MS-Exchange-CrossTenant-id: 1a66a727-7389-4727-a8cb-f249ac8e7ff8 X-MS-Exchange-CrossTenant-mailboxtype: HOSTED X-MS-Exchange-CrossTenant-userprincipalname: XTi0LntYBcl9iEOUlhNEVY6oX8+bG3b1AzwMRN9CNDk0HK6u2e9+jShBgegl22BpH1kbXfIWakmx08Il+nd/kQ== X-MS-Exchange-Transport-CrossTenantHeadersStamped: PH0PR03MB6432 X-Proofpoint-ORIG-GUID: eVpHxcJC5fI4CUv6bWdAcvRe5xBkII7n X-Proofpoint-GUID: eVpHxcJC5fI4CUv6bWdAcvRe5xBkII7n X-Proofpoint-Virus-Version: vendor=baseguard engine=ICAP:2.0.267,Aquarius:18.0.980,Hydra:6.0.601,FMLib:17.11.176.26 definitions=2023-09-13_16,2023-09-13_01,2023-05-22_02 X-Proofpoint-Spam-Details: rule=outbound_notspam policy=outbound score=0 adultscore=0 priorityscore=1501 mlxlogscore=999 impostorscore=0 malwarescore=0 phishscore=0 suspectscore=0 lowpriorityscore=0 mlxscore=0 bulkscore=0 spamscore=0 clxscore=1011 classifier=spam adjust=0 reason=mlx scancount=1 engine=8.19.0-2308100000 definitions=main-2309130181 Subject: Re: [Starlink] SpaceX no longer taking losses to produce Starlink satellite antennas, a key step to improving profitability X-BeenThere: starlink@lists.bufferbloat.net X-Mailman-Version: 2.1.20 Precedence: list List-Id: "Starlink has bufferbloat. Bad." List-Unsubscribe: , List-Archive: List-Post: List-Help: List-Subscribe: , X-List-Received-Date: Wed, 13 Sep 2023 21:59:47 -0000 --_000_BYAPR03MB38634393D9683D03DD6565F0C2F0ABYAPR03MB3863namp_ Content-Type: text/plain; charset="Windows-1252" Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable It's a complex, dynamic pricing problem -- available capacity is constantly= changing, but consumers would not tolerate, say, service price changes eve= ry month. Maybe they reassess price when performance in an area falls below= or rises above thresholds. ________________________________ From: Starlink on behalf of Ulrich= Speidel via Starlink Sent: Wednesday, September 13, 2023 2:36 PM To: starlink@lists.bufferbloat.net Subject: Re: [Starlink] SpaceX no longer taking losses to produce Starlink = satellite antennas, a key step to improving profitability The differential pricing is a pretty obvious attempt to manage user density= in the cells as they add capacity in the sky. Growing pains. In NZ, they sold at NZ$199 at one point if you were "rural" and NZ$729 if y= ou were "urban", except that their definitions of "rural" included the buil= t-up CBD of a few cities with population into the 100's of thousands, and "= urban" included lifestyle block areas away from the big cities. A better de= finition would have been: * "urban" if truly urban and surrounded by sufficient geeks to drive de= nsity up (look at central Tokyo where user density seems to have gone throu= gh the roof!) * "urban" if in rural areas that attract a lot of lifestylers and in wh= ich no fibre is on offer * "rural" if in urban areas devoid of sufficient numbers of geeks * "rural" if truly out in the sticks But they keep changing that in quite a nimble fashion and rural and urban p= ricing seems to have started to converge somewhat. Starlink's hardware pricing is only one lever, subscription is another, and= that's reflected in their pricing where service is involved that goes beyo= nd the standard stationary dishy setup. In areas that have fibre, they're n= ot competitive - they'd need to be US$50 / month or less to even get a seri= ous foot in the door there. Everywhere else, they are selling well as long = as the locals can afford it. So quite how they will manage user density onc= e everyone's bought a cheap dishy will be interesting - can they grow capac= ity faster than user base? Quite what that means for rural fibre expansion = also remains to be seen. Where available, fibre offers vastly better uplink= rates, lower latency, and - at present - lower ongoing pricing. On 14/09/2023 5:52 am, Inemesit Affia via Starlink wrote: That's quite strange. They sell equipment at different prices everywhere. S= o what's this price? I assume $500 to $750 but could it be even cheaper? Amazon said thier target is $400 On Wed, Sep 13, 2023, 6:05 PM the keyboard of geoff goodfellow via Starlink= > wr= ote: * SpaceX is no longer absorbing the cost of the Starlink antennas that = it sells with its satellite internet service, a company executive said on W= ednesday. * =93We were subsidizing terminals but we=92ve been iterating on our te= rminal production so much that we=92re no longer subsidizing terminals, whi= ch is a good place to be,=94 Jonathan Hofeller, SpaceX vice president of St= arlink and commercial sales, said during a panel at the World Satellite Bus= iness Week conference. [...] https://www.cnbc.com/2023/09/13/spacex-no-longer-taking-losses-to-produce-s= tarlink-satellite-antennas.html -- Geoff.Goodfellow@iconia.com living as The Truth is True -- **************************************************************** Dr. Ulrich Speidel School of Computer Science Room 303S.594 (City Campus) The University of Auckland u.speidel@auckland.ac.nz http://www.cs.auckland.ac.nz/~ulrich/ **************************************************************** --_000_BYAPR03MB38634393D9683D03DD6565F0C2F0ABYAPR03MB3863namp_ Content-Type: text/html; charset="Windows-1252" Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable
It's a complex, dynamic pricing problem -- available capacity is constantly= changing, but consumers would not tolerate, say, service price changes eve= ry month. Maybe they reassess price when performance in an area falls below= or rises above thresholds.

From: Starlink <sta= rlink-bounces@lists.bufferbloat.net> on behalf of Ulrich Speidel via Sta= rlink <starlink@lists.bufferbloat.net>
Sent: Wednesday, September 13, 2023 2:36 PM
To: starlink@lists.bufferbloat.net <starlink@lists.bufferbloat.ne= t>
Subject: Re: [Starlink] SpaceX no longer taking losses to produce St= arlink satellite antennas, a key step to improving profitability
 

The differential pricing is a pretty obvious attempt to manage user dens= ity in the cells as they add capacity in the sky. Growing pains.

In NZ, they sold at NZ$199 at one point if you were "rural" an= d NZ$729 if you were "urban", except that their definitions of &q= uot;rural" included the built-up CBD of a few cities with population i= nto the 100's of thousands, and "urban" included lifestyle block areas away from the big cities. A better definition would have been:

  • "urban" if truly urban and surrounded by sufficient geeks to = drive density up (look at central Tokyo where user density seems to have go= ne through the roof!)
  • "urban" if in rural areas that attract a lot of lifestyl= ers and in which no fibre is on offer
  • "rural" if in urban= areas devoid of sufficient numbers of geeks
  • "rural" if t= ruly out in the sticks 
But they keep changing that in quite a nim= ble fashion and rural and urban pricing seems to have started to converge s= omewhat.

Starlink's hardware pricing is only one le= ver, subscription is another, and that's reflected in their pricing where s= ervice is involved that goes beyond the standard stationary dishy setup. In= areas that have fibre, they're not competitive - they'd need to be US$50 / month or less to even get a seriou= s foot in the door there. Everywhere else, they are selling well as long as= the locals can afford it. So quite how they will manage user density once = everyone's bought a cheap dishy will be interesting - can they grow capacity faster than user base? Quite = what that means for rural fibre expansion also remains to be seen. Where av= ailable, fibre offers vastly better uplink rates, lower latency, and - at p= resent - lower ongoing pricing.

On 14/09/2023 5:52 am, Inemesit Affia via = Starlink wrote:
That's quite strange. They sell equipment at different pr= ices everywhere. So what's this price? I assume $500 to $750 but could it b= e even cheaper?

Amazon said thier target is $400

On Wed, Sep 13, 2023, 6:05 PM the k= eyboard of geoff goodfellow via Starlink <starlink@lists.bufferbloat.net>= ; wrote:
  • SpaceX is no longer absorbing the cost of the Starlink antennas that it= sells with its satellite internet service, a company executive said on Wed= nesday.
  • =93We were subsidizing terminals but we=92ve been iterating= on our terminal production so much that we=92re no longer subsidizing term= inals, which is a good place to be,=94 Jonathan Hofeller, SpaceX vice presi= dent of Starlink and commercial sales, said during a panel at the World Satellite Business Week conference.
[...]

--
= Geoff.Good= fellow@iconia.com
living as The= Truth is True

--
********************************=
********************************=0A=
Dr. Ulrich Speidel=0A=
=0A=
School of Computer Science=0A=
=0A=
Room 303S.594 (City Campus)=0A=
=0A=
The University of Auckland=0A=
u.speidel@=
auckland.ac.nz =0A=
http://www.cs.auckland.ac.nz/~ulrich/=0A=
****************************************************************=0A=
=0A=
=0A=
=0A=
--_000_BYAPR03MB38634393D9683D03DD6565F0C2F0ABYAPR03MB3863namp_--